Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.016686 0.018629 0.020583 0.022689 0.024889 0.027115 0.029532
2025-03-23 0.012923 0.015980 0.019187 0.022771 0.026636 0.030655 0.035126
2025-03-30 0.010356 0.013987 0.017933 0.022465 0.027465 0.032758 0.038739
2025-04-06 0.008317 0.012284 0.016743 0.021994 0.027898 0.034244 0.041502
2025-04-13 0.006333 0.010408 0.015168 0.020922 0.027519 0.034713 0.043035
2025-04-20 0.005485 0.009791 0.014968 0.021341 0.028741 0.036886 0.046378
2025-04-27 0.004421 0.008781 0.014211 0.021038 0.029079 0.038020 0.048519
2025-05-04 0.003433 0.007748 0.013343 0.020535 0.029131 0.038784 0.050204
2025-05-11 0.002871 0.007233 0.013076 0.020718 0.029949 0.040389 0.052804
2025-05-18 0.002261 0.006564 0.012560 0.020556 0.030329 0.041468 0.054786
2025-05-25 0.001640 0.005769 0.011819 0.020070 0.030290 0.042035 0.056163
2025-06-01 0.001194 0.005174 0.011301 0.019833 0.030522 0.042896 0.057853
2025-06-08 0.000704 0.004396 0.010532 0.019322 0.030506 0.043573 0.059469
2025-06-15 0.000423 0.003938 0.010204 0.019394 0.031225 0.045148 0.062165
2025-06-22 0.000176 0.003364 0.009639 0.019110 0.031476 0.046145 0.064172
2025-06-29 0.000026 0.002784 0.008992 0.018673 0.031503 0.046853 0.065821
2025-07-06 NaN 0.002058 0.007989 0.017681 0.030787 0.046639 0.066367
2025-07-13 NaN 0.001902 0.007971 0.018068 0.031825 0.048532 0.069374
2025-07-20 NaN 0.001539 0.007508 0.017787 0.031982 0.049342 0.071094
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001165 0.006944 0.017322 0.031876 0.049815 0.072402
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001009 0.006812 0.017491 0.032595 0.051290 0.074890
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000790 0.006484 0.017342 0.032879 0.052221 0.076722
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000537 0.005983 0.016893 0.032744 0.052622 0.077911